Fortunate-Scratch
0x518467728111bb0a29095900887d167362f41363
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-445.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
953 shares @ 83.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$767.48
$-32.52
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$496.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
571 shares @ 70.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$390.89
$-9.11
- YES
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
443 shares @ 56.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$248.07
$-1.93
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.11
$-18.89
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
107 shares @ 46.8¢·now 46.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.42
$-0.58
- ANDREAS TIMINI
ITF Kutaisi: Andreas Timini vs Essa Qabazard
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$48.21
$-1.79
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
79 shares @ 57.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$46.58
$1.58
- YES
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
72 shares @ 55.9¢·now 63.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.58
$5.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYITF Kutaisi: Andreas Timini vs Essa Qabazard$50.24May 27, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?$51.57May 27, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$403.59May 27, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$253.27May 27, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$503.75May 27, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$800.00May 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$100.00May 27, 02:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$152.88May 26, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$119.26May 26, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$102.13May 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$15.59May 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.79May 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$25.97May 26, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$25.97May 26, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier$201.98May 26, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$50.90May 26, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMLittle Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Hayato Matsuoka$263.29May 26, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Cavaliers$52.63May 26, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians$484.21May 26, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $100.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".