Cultured-Toll
0x51909feee0eaa8f6027b87026d8e24dcc0246c17
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$192.98
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
8313 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-206.38
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1649 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
1050 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-28.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
900 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
850 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$198.00Mar 10, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$262.00Mar 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.53Feb 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.52Feb 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.26Feb 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.13Feb 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$85.58Feb 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$126.70Feb 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$12.32Feb 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$85.41Feb 27, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.2KFeb 27, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$223.56Feb 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$59.52Feb 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$112.56Feb 26, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$159.25Feb 26, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$102.85Feb 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$129.50Feb 26, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$3.8KFeb 26, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$736.90Feb 26, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$31.74Feb 26, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $190.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".