Fresh-Push
0x5191ecf5c83e437e60b07758e42438cc19034459
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$24.67
Total PnL
$-220.71
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will anyone say "Nominate" or "Nominated" or "Nomination" during Big Brother E13?
18 shares @ 12.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$8.16
$5.96
- NO
Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$2.35
$1.25
- YES
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.12
$1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.28
$0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.26
$0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.25
$0.15
- YES
Will Spotify say "Record" during earnings call?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.24
$0.14
- NO
Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.20
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 1?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.16
$0.06
- YES
Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.01
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 1?$1.10Aug 1, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?$1.12Aug 1, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMFoster Griffin: Strikeouts O/U 4.5$7.53Aug 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 31?$1.13Aug 1, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMDylan Cease: Strikeouts O/U 7.5$6.55Aug 1, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLClub Puebla leading at halftime?$0.08Aug 1, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLClub Puebla leading at halftime?$0.59Aug 1, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Puebla leading at halftime?$1.11Aug 1, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFoster Griffin: Strikeouts O/U 4.5$5.57Aug 1, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDylan Cease: Strikeouts O/U 7.5$5.54Aug 1, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?$1.14Aug 1, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$1.00Jul 31, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$1.10Jul 31, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?$1.90Jul 31, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 31?$2.29Jul 31, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBirmingham City vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5$1.17Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham City vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5$1.10Jul 31, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?$1.11Jul 31, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31?$0.58Jul 31, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31?$1.10Jul 31, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.