Murky-Convertible
0x5194b5a4e7cb37dc00fff05464c3157c6810af28
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$21.91
Total PnL
$-8.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$10.99
$0.99
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?
11 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$10.92
$0.74
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105k in May?$0.00May 12, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden say "Trump" 5+ times during his May 8 interview?$0.00May 10, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$0.00May 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope announced by May 9?$28.98May 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?$42.85May 8, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 9?$28.99May 8, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$28.99May 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?$10.18May 8, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$10.18May 8, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$29.30May 7, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?$0.00May 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?$10.00May 7, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?$1.00May 7, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105k in May?$17.00May 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?$10.00May 7, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Trump" 5+ times during his May 8 interview?$10.00May 7, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$10.00May 7, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$10.00May 7, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$10.00May 7, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $17.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".