Stingy-Pusher
0x5197f21d5d9ded239eab466c2d8e7e915f0c7200
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$2.99
Total PnL
$-228.57
Realised
$-1.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 35.4¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.99
$-2.01
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
2174 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-52.74
- NO
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
1442 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.60
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
382 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.41
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
118 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-13.50
- MOROCCO
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 30?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$5.18Jul 15, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.16Jul 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.15Jul 11, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.52Jul 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$0.27Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$2.04Jul 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.09Jul 10, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2.04Jul 10, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 9, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.17Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?$1.03Jul 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$2.03Jul 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$1.92Jul 7, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$1.02Jul 7, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.07Jul 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.02Jul 7, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$2.02Jul 7, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.