Mammoth-Retrospective
0x51a5498e31d5f74b8255432d329f3fba91ee1e34
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South African President on May 21?
207 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Brutal" or "Brutally" during events with South African President on May 21?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Race" during events with South African President on May 21?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$0.00May 23, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Congo" during events with South African President on May 21?$0.00May 23, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Roof" during events with South African President on May 21?$0.00May 23, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$0.00May 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Watch list" during events with South African President on May 21?$15.30May 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$14.18May 21, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hamas" during events with South African President on May 21?$17.36May 21, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with South African President on May 21?$24.16May 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Israel" during events with South African President on May 21?$20.65May 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$36.03May 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$50.74May 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hell" during events with South African President on May 21?$15.73May 21, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$5.00May 21, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$1.00May 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "White farmer" during events with South African President on May 21?$31.85May 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South African President on May 21?$9.00May 21, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$9.83May 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Watch list" during events with South African President on May 21?$14.37May 20, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" during events with South African President on May 21?$10.00May 20, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hamas" during events with South African President on May 21?$10.00May 20, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $24.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".