Vengeful-Selection
0x51b7edb812b61100c9a7417b3faf0189aa80d820
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-196.03
Realised
$-1.79
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 30?
227 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on December 30?
145 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?
128 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?
96 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 19?
55 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on December 19?
55 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 19?
55 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 19?
55 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 19?
55 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?
53 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-14.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 31?$10.30Dec 31, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$13.97Dec 31, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$35.02Dec 31, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$48.00Dec 31, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$21.25Dec 31, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$19.84Dec 31, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$12.00Dec 31, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$25.20Dec 31, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$6.60Dec 31, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$2.70Dec 31, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$1.35Dec 31, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$1.35Dec 31, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$4.80Dec 31, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?$5.40Dec 31, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?$6.35Dec 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$26.00Dec 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$18.50Dec 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$11.96Dec 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?$2.92Dec 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$2.60Dec 31, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.