Messy-Politics
0x51b83e4a6ec4750df95b01c5700bef5ba7c81df6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-4.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
9250 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-256.33
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
5857 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-539.99
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
4000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-115.71
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on January 5?
2774 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-55.07
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
2700 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.40
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
2700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 29?
2609 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-41.81
- YES
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on January 7?
2300 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-65.58
- YES
Will Maduro visit the White House in 2025?
2069 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$396.81Feb 28, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$73.98Feb 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1.98Feb 24, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$0.36Feb 24, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$19.68Feb 24, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$18.20Feb 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$9.78Feb 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$11.04Feb 22, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$6.03Feb 22, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$5.36Feb 22, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$7.10Feb 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$24.41Feb 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$0.55Feb 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$1.63Feb 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$0.48Feb 21, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$0.02Feb 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$1.12Feb 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$7.84Feb 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$2.40Feb 21, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".