Flickering-Normal
0x51bfeffe547c154bee265cec3fe5dcc8c0884706
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$58.77
Total PnL
$-191.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.94
$0.94
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.79
$-6.21
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
626 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$13.41
$-6.59
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
191 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-44.52
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
1561 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
465 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31
156 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
121 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.