0x51c45e576c82c19481c34d16e07ccc1826b3eae5
0x51c45e576c82c19481c34d16e07ccc1826b3eae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$3.28
Total PnL
$-41.88
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$3.28
$1.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3.75Aug 16, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$3.77Aug 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.07Aug 16, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3.07Aug 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.36Aug 16, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$3.92Aug 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$3.12Aug 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.57Aug 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$2.08Aug 16, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.20Aug 12, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$3.13Aug 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.03Aug 12, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.06Aug 12, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.05Aug 12, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.