Intent-Board
0x51c4ad6339ba8c13d8fb90fa6d4a1df5d1ea843e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will another team win Dota 2: PGL Wallachia 2024?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
146 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
138 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
134 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
117 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- NO
Will Milton make landfall as a category 3?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.14Jan 23, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 2, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Cleverly next Conservative party leader?$0.11Nov 2, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?$0.13Nov 1, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.15Oct 25, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.13Oct 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.14Oct 18, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.15Oct 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.12Oct 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win Dota 2: PGL Wallachia 2024?$0.15Oct 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.10Oct 12, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.10Oct 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 50 or more times October 4-11?$0.01Oct 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 50 or more times October 4-11?$0.10Oct 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 3?$0.11Oct 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.15Oct 10, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 3.5 or more on Oct 11?$0.10Oct 10, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times October 4-11?$0.12Oct 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$205.45Oct 10, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $71.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.