Inconsequential-Legislation
0x51c6711702cf94343a63dba0e5fbcdfd54f24460
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.75
Total PnL
$-79.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?
1016 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stephen Curry win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
116 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$21.51Mar 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Chinese Taipei$3.00Mar 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan$2.00Mar 6, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Australia$2.00Mar 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Czechia$5.00Mar 5, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$5.00Mar 5, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$6.00Mar 5, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$18.94Feb 28, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$1.03Feb 27, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.03Feb 26, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.01Feb 24, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$1.34Feb 23, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".