Spherical-Tussle
0x51d0b3b8c540d6465c5eddb887d00551659a24b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.68
Total PnL
$-26.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.87
$-8.13
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-3.91
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
40 shares @ 12.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$-3.98
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.69
$-4.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 21?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00Apr 9, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$0.00Mar 18, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".