Shiny-Allegation
0x51d29aa03369ce5fd8f5ff80b7eb7e56f30a44f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-707.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?
994 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-263.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
709 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-190.45
- YES
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
370 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-193.84
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?
144 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
24 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$190.45Feb 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$193.84Feb 20, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$1.2KDec 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?$0.62Dec 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$53.95Dec 23, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?$150.00Dec 23, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?$161.82Dec 22, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$3.3KDec 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$9.90Dec 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$198.40Dec 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$992.00Dec 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?$50.00Dec 11, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$295.80Dec 11, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$31.86Dec 10, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?$263.00Dec 10, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$196.45Dec 10, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$98.42Dec 10, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$264.90Dec 1, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?$50.00Dec 1, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?$10.00Dec 1, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $434.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".