Past-Anybody
0x51d7e365dff4882c624f1ef8b54137096865238c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-155.7K
Realised
$-41.3K
Win rate
32%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
3823 shares @ 71.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.8K
$27.53
- NO
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1323 shares @ 14.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$595.13
$401.19
- NO
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?
2336 shares @ 7.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$467.20
$287.53
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
7405 shares @ 24.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$444.31
$-1.4K
- NO
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
946 shares @ 49.6¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$425.58
$-43.41
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
736 shares @ 43.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$393.85
$74.07
- NO
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 42.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$88.25
$41.63
- NO
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
80 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.16
$13.56
- NO
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
50 shares @ 77.7¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$47.55
$8.70
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
373 shares @ 36.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.63
$-87.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?$16.49Jul 24, 10:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?$23.38Jul 23, 21:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $126.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.