Ironclad-Vintner
0x51db1214835add44bbb74ce1453c7af89b960a3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$25.72Mar 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.64Mar 4, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood be accused of insider trading?$30.64Feb 26, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood be accused of insider trading?$28.59Feb 25, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?$28.58Feb 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?$27.74Feb 23, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.08?$14.13Jan 18, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.09?$41.00Jan 18, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$55.13Jan 18, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$3.94Jan 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$54.20Jan 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?$34.09Jan 14, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 14?$2.64Jan 14, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?$3.45Jan 14, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?$5.00Jan 13, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?$20.00Jan 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 14?$9.98Jan 13, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $24.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.