Mellow-Outrun
0x51f15f53581482eac89a6aa37558627b094001df
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.66
Total PnL
$6.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
14 shares @ 16.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$13.66
$11.46
- YES
Will 'Helldivers 2' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MUFASA
'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?
16 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
14 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trudeau out before April?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
3 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- BEARS
Lions vs. Bears
1 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?$1.39Dec 28, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?$1.96Dec 28, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?$0.10Dec 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?$0.10Dec 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Bears$0.30Dec 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$2.20Dec 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?$0.50Dec 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Helldivers 2' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?$1.00Dec 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? $1.00Dec 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?$1.00Dec 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin remain President of Russia through June?$1.00Dec 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.10Dec 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out before April?$1.00Dec 22, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".