Impeccable-Patience-Value
0x51f47b67928330e34aabd8cb5bd784a899e24bc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$831.59
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1294438 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET
1858 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-557.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET
1580 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-331.79
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.40
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 4AM ET
773 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-23.18
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 4AM ET
400 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-75.82
- OVER
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
343 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-137.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$6.94Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$51.62Jul 23, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10.00Jul 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10.00Jul 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.10Jul 23, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$150.00Jul 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$20.00Jul 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.30Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $61.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.