Severe-Downturn
0x51f634e6326d19c1e3bcf03e704184a08b1d9f18
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-37.95
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13?
1019 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.0K
$81.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?
145 shares @ 93.9¢·now 89.4¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$129.42
$-6.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$55.43
$5.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?
55 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$54.97
$6.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13?
31 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$30.54
$5.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?
16 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.43
$0.32
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.11
$4.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.80
$3.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on June 14?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.86
$0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$6.10
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13?$1.48Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13?$7.38Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13?$16.20Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$7.22Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?$14.19Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?$136.35Jun 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$46.66Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$3.34Jun 13, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12?$53.76Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on June 14?$9.04Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$7.63Jun 13, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?$34.93Jun 12, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13?$130.59Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12?$50.00Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?$33.83Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?$49.99Jun 12, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?$62.50Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?$0.55Jun 12, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?$14.55Jun 12, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $53.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.