Well-Made-Estate
0x51f6ffe597ed89b09e4f67315a52b8c1f378c0ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$24.94
Total PnL
$-770.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.33
$-28.67
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.61
$-46.39
- YES
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
1722 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-124.98
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
758 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
655 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
201 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
69 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$76.57Jan 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$50.00Jan 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jan 6, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $50.00Jan 6, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$50.00Jan 6, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$0.00Dec 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$117.65Dec 22, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$20.00Nov 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$50.00Aug 23, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin visit the U.S. before July?$0.00Jul 13, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0.00Jul 13, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$0.00Jul 13, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?$0.00Jul 13, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$0.00Jul 13, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS kicks trans members out of military before July? $89.84Jun 30, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$45.87Jun 23, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$2.00Jun 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$30.00Jun 17, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?$0.00Jun 13, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during Merz events on June 5?$0.00Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $49.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.