Ordinary-Doll
0x51fdecfa336e92935f9da122b969c1eef526d135
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$69.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?
3060 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1600 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-345.68
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1550 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-705.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1533 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1111 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-274.67
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
642 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-216.53
- COWBOYS
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
477 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
420 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-225.12
- YES
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-57.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$419.98Dec 4, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$345.68Nov 20, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$1.16Nov 20, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$344.52Nov 17, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$168.15Nov 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$61.08Nov 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$18.20Nov 3, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Nov 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$2.50Nov 2, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$31.62Nov 2, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$5.66Nov 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$17.27Nov 2, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$120.54Nov 2, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$46.69Nov 2, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$41.00Nov 2, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$40.70Nov 1, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$10.72Nov 1, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$16.08Nov 1, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$42.88Nov 1, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$2.68Nov 1, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $106.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.