Plastic-Clerk
0x5204cc05829c4e50444ee52c7f94386901bd23c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-132.4K
Realised
$-37.3K
Win rate
0%
195 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4000 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?
3030 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
1920 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-937.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
1920 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-147.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
1920 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-926.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
1854 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-955.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
1484 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-656.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
1464 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-768.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
1464 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-740.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
1464 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-770.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$15.00Aug 20, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$19.43Aug 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$4.60Aug 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$7.88Aug 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.30Aug 20, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$32.07Aug 20, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$15.53Aug 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$25.88Aug 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$19.15Aug 20, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$193.36Aug 20, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$20.01Aug 20, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$31.33Aug 20, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$6.79Aug 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$6.30Aug 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.15Aug 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$29.50Aug 20, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$32.50Aug 20, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$30.00Aug 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$9.80Aug 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$51.75Aug 20, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 195 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
195 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 195 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.