Probable-Nightmare
0x5206b8c60191a39b412b1739bdb0297ea6c70f4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
165
Open notional
$62.89
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$38.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1000 shares @ 7.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$45.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.50
$0.50
- YES
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$7.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
266 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.39
$-0.53
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
1376 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-120.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Krakow 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
750 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-291.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.88Jun 10, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$100.39Jun 10, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$32.44Jun 9, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$67.50Jun 9, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$54.00Jun 9, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$28.50Jun 9, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$64.50Jun 8, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$50.00Jun 8, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$15.55Jun 7, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$28.01Jun 7, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$2.14Jun 7, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$12.44Jun 7, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.88Jun 7, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$12.82Jun 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.35Jun 7, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.40Jun 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.35Jun 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.14Jun 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.56Jun 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.70Jun 7, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.