Bogus-Bun
0x5219d0296729fe3477c8e9059be6707a24a27f31
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$108.77
Total PnL
$-217.05
Realised
$-42.90
Win rate
7%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?
61 shares @ 75.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$57.97
$11.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?
26 shares @ 44.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$25.51
$14.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$12.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 29?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.10
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.80
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.50
$-52.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-32.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 16?
50 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?
35 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
7 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?$2.90Jul 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$34.69Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$35.72Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$3.45Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?$3.06Jul 28, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$3.64Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?$11.36Jul 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?$12.00Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?$4.17Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?$12.20Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?$13.00Jul 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?$7.96Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 29?$9.39Jul 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$5.50Jul 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$1.77Jul 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$11.39Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 29?$1.41Jul 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$3.13Jul 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$15.58Jul 28, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$3.70Jul 28, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.