Sugary-Mud
0x521ec36c52966b973cb7dbb3feade65d6821a47b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$271.83
Total PnL
$-71.19
Realised
$56.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 17.4¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.60
$0.60
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
256 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
71 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
196 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
938 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.53
$-0.47
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 33.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.00
$4.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.40
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$6.02May 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.07May 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.02May 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.03May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$1.05May 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.28May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$3.27May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$13.01May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.04May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$10.44May 17, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00May 17, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.30May 17, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.30May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$10.57May 17, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.01May 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.05May 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$2.08May 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$10.65May 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.17May 17, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.43May 17, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".