Frosty-Lollipop
0x5239b5288dfdd617cbb001e878168f0687796c7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.25
Total PnL
$-27.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
100 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
30 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?
30 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.20Jan 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$48.45Jan 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Dec 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.50Dec 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19.20Dec 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.92Dec 9, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.32Dec 9, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.36Dec 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.60Dec 9, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$25.50Dec 9, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert O'Brien be next National Security Advisor?$1.66Dec 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert O'Brien be next National Security Advisor?$1.12Dec 9, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$3.00Aug 11, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wei Yi win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?$0.00Jun 29, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?$0.00Jun 29, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMItalian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendum$0.00Jun 29, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMPoilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives before June?$0.00Jun 29, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in May 2025?$0.00Jun 29, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Apothecary Diaries' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?$0.00Jun 29, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".