Insistent-Fact
0x5239fce58000d63fa071e27101eece82f48464a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$58.90
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1166 shares @ 8.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$58.90
$-37.90
- TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
6554 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- TEXAS A&M
Miami vs. Texas A&M
744 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-416.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
678 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-16.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-304.40
- CHIEFS
Super Bowl LIX Winner
300 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-156.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden attend Super Bowl LIX?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?
57 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 2 times?
50 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 3 times?
50 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.38May 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.19May 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.92May 20, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.92May 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.22May 20, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.28May 20, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.43May 20, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.73May 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.72May 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.75May 20, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.87May 20, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.02May 20, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.27May 20, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.19May 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.29May 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.74May 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.06May 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.75May 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.49May 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.66May 20, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $291.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".