Scrawny-Genie
0x523bcba10c9e06e30a61a374fda108541c4c57ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$15.38
Total PnL
$0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$4.82
$0.82
- YES
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.70
$1.70
- YES
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$3.08
$1.08
- NO
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.28
$0.28
- YES
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?$3.00Sep 5, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?$0.00Sep 4, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?$4.00Sep 2, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$6.25Sep 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran by end of 2024?$1.00Aug 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$2.00Aug 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$1.00Aug 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?$2.00Aug 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump gets more black voters than in 2020?$2.00Aug 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$3.00Aug 16, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?$4.00Aug 16, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".