Blue-Ocean-Oar
0x5243ba13d1f034e4624cc724055f74acf439b27f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-525.71
Realised
$18.06
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
33 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
32 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
31 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
17 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
16 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
15 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.00Jul 24, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$6.67Jul 24, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.00Jul 24, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.57Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.01Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.43Jul 24, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$6.67Jul 24, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.60Jul 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.40Jul 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.00Jul 24, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$6.67Jul 24, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.00Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.00Jul 23, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.66Jul 23, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.34Jul 23, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.00Jul 23, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.67Jul 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Jul 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$6.67Jul 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Jul 23, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.