Detailed-Playroom
0x52458975123705e48b60f64c68fc42075e4cd550
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$38.44
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$11.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
38 shares @ 26.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$10.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
1866 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
1155 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
1062 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
927 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.35Jun 18, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$11.90Jun 18, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.20Jun 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$24.72Jun 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.25Jun 18, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.20Jun 18, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.34Jun 18, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.35Jun 18, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$5.13Jun 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$10.28Jun 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.35Jun 18, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$17.24Jun 16, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$39.22Jun 15, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$14.29Jun 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$5.11Jun 15, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$10.15Jun 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$10.23Jun 15, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$27.78Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$151.36Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$10.22Jun 14, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.