Elated-Wage
0x524a6c1a89150e2227bb887852c71eee5f86c60f
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$5.20
Total PnL
$1.63
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$2.53Jun 30, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Civilization" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.06Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.09Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?$1.09Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11?$1.15Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?$1.18Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.23Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$1.28Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.40Jun 30, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11?$1.01Jun 11, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?$1.06Jun 11, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Civilization" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.01Jun 11, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.03Jun 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.02Jun 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.01Jun 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.01Jun 11, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$1.02Jun 11, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?$1.10Jun 11, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$1.10May 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.34May 14, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.