Distant-Inhibitor
0x524db836890e08aceb3abcdee98d44240e324495
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$155.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
1387 shares @ 49.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$350.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
4927 shares @ 9.8¢·now 14.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$726.67
$245.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
4408 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$286.50
$-154.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
512 shares @ 39.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$238.28
$36.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
1729 shares @ 8.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$161.71
$20.46
- NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
236 shares @ 38.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$157.21
$66.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
2841 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.19
$-23.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
7046 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$56.37
$-505.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
1772 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.86
$-14.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
581 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$29.04
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$89.30Jun 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$12.01Jun 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$46.43Jun 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$19.83Jun 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$366.48Jun 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$32.82Jun 28, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$20.35Jun 28, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$8.53Jun 28, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$224.42Jun 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$205.70Jun 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$286.67Jun 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$201.44Jun 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$207.71Jun 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.2KJun 28, 08:34 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets June 27 - June 29, 2026?$4.4KJun 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$773.05Jun 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$170.74Jun 28, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$80.11Jun 27, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$81.61Jun 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$412.34Jun 27, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $182.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.