Outstanding-Punishment
0x5251af6856b2666c62a35d8e9aebe71dac473da9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-448.76
Realised
$-53.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
10884 shares @ 10.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-11.63
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2159 shares @ 25.5¢·now 23.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$496.53
$-53.47
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
185 shares @ 27.1¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.90
$-7.10
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
282 shares @ 17.7¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.54
$-9.46
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
240 shares @ 5.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.64
$26.64
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
47 shares @ 32.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.92
$19.92
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
905 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.84
$-34.16
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1092 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.29
$-18.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
556 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.61
$-6.39
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.44
$-5.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$10.39Jun 9, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$514.82Jun 9, 14:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$15.41Jun 4, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$5.19Jun 4, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$2.08Jun 4, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$2.08Jun 4, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$5.19Jun 4, 21:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $79.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.