Fresh-Fiesta
0x525462f49cbb9635ce2491ed0513377c560fe8e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.92
Total PnL
$-51.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.62
$0.05
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.19
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 27?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET
2700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET
1800 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET
1600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
400 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.20Jul 6, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.17Jun 18, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 18, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET$0.90Jun 18, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.1KJun 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.1KJun 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.11Jun 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.09Jun 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.50Jun 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.09Jun 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.01Jun 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.03Jun 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.37Jun 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.10Jun 18, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$1.07Jun 18, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.29Jun 18, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.10Jun 18, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET$0.21Jun 18, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 16, 12:40 UTC → Jun 16, 12:33 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$8.9K@100¢Jun 16, 12:33 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
$8.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $128.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.