Only-Subscription
0x52571971a8abbda208093ba48f25a8cc7a981cc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$149.87
Total PnL
$-4.59
Realised
$-0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.92
$-0.08
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will Europe win the Laver Cup?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ONE STAR ESPORTS
Honor of Kings: ONE Team vs One Star Esports - Game 1 Winner
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$100.00Jul 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Jul 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?$181.17Jul 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?$180.07Jul 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?$178.30Jul 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?$180.07Jul 13, 08:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$199.78May 6, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$199.04May 6, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.38May 6, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$200.01May 4, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.01May 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.49May 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.01May 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$200.04May 4, 08:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$427.56Apr 2, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$51.00Apr 2, 05:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $94.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.