Hearty-Webpage
0x52584c7a62ff326af78931b1534888b93848027a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$20.04
Total PnL
$-75.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
600 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
330 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?
160 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.34
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
100 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.77
- YES
Will "Six Seven" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
40 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$20.00Jan 12, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jan 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.01Jan 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$0.00Jan 12, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.15Jan 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.35Jan 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.12Jan 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.23Jan 12, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.31Jan 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.22Jan 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.14Jan 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.27Jan 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.30Jan 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.11Jan 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.10Jan 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.05Jan 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.12Jan 11, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$4.31Jan 11, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.95Jan 11, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.