0x52588eaa337ea05334f1a2454710889959a46a56
0x52588eaa337ea05334f1a2454710889959a46a56
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.85
Total PnL
$-0.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.56
$1.56
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.79
$1.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.62
$0.62
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.53
$0.53
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of August 10 2026?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.12
$-0.88
- NO
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$0.00Aug 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of August 10 2026?$2.05Aug 10, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?$3.03Aug 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$2.07Aug 9, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 8, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$4.17Aug 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.02Aug 6, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$2.05Aug 6, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.00Aug 6, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas?$2.78Aug 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?$2.05Aug 5, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMAllstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?$4.35Aug 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$2.03Aug 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?$2.06Aug 5, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAllstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?$2.04Aug 4, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.00Aug 4, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.56Aug 4, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$6.06Aug 4, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$2.00Aug 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas?$2.02Aug 4, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.