Defiant-Hundred
0x526c72615db36dfe5221a1a979e6fe762334cfab
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
3838 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-425.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 October 27-November 2?
3086 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-139.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1415 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
1189 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 20-26?
1125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
1059 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1056 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US strike Yemen next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.41Jan 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?$1.00Jan 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?$1.00Jan 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Jan 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Jan 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanucks vs. Blue Jackets$1.00Jan 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlames vs. Blackhawks$1.00Jan 15, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Bulls$1.56Jan 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Mavericks$2.22Jan 15, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?$1.17Jan 15, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?$2.17Jan 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?$1.00Jan 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?$2.00Jan 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Bulls$1.00Jan 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Mavericks$1.00Jan 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?$1.00Jan 14, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Jan 14, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.64Jan 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Jan 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.