Lost-Understatement
0x527179f13b6592518a5b8b717a5976d9105ff692
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
105
Open notional
$414.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
178 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$178.00
$99.68
- MISSOURI TIGERS
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers
172 shares @ 37.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$172.00
$107.56
- NO
Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $9.0B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?
64 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$64.00
$3.84
- YES
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
661 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-375.36
- YES
Will XRP be the top performing crypto for the week of February 9?
612 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.75
- NO
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?
576 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-178.56
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in January?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will The Elliens win Vidbir 2026?
450 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will Molodi win Vidbir 2026?
446 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?$398.00Mar 2, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$51.00Mar 2, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$102.00Mar 2, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?$255.00Mar 2, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be at least 500k?$350.00Mar 2, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)$51.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)$51.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMCS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Independiente: O/U 4.5$53.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-02-21?$66.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on February 18?$70.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?$74.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)$153.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDP Junior FC win on 2026-02-16?$474.00Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on February 18?$0.00Feb 22, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDP Junior FC win on 2026-02-16?$0.00Feb 22, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on February 18?$0.00Feb 22, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDP Junior FC win on 2026-02-16?$0.00Feb 22, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)$49.42Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)$49.88Feb 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)$49.88Feb 21, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $30.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".