Tedious-Corruption
0x5273eb0778a3fab8da3f75e4908e60f6dae47edc
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$19.54
Total PnL
$-1.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.60
$0.10
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$1.54
$0.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.28
$0.05
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.24
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.00Nov 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$2.00Nov 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.00Nov 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$2.00Nov 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?$0.00Nov 18, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.08Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.19Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff$1.22Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.28Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.32Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.33Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$2.01Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$2.40Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?$1.00Nov 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff$1.20Nov 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Nov 6, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Nov 6, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Nov 6, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $140.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.