Lawful-Confidence
0x527cf6b801714fa91b4f6bbf1f3ff2400dba95cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.89
Realised
$-0.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ethereum close above $1800 on July 31?
282 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?
232 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?
213 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?
204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August?
167 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump visit Israel before August?
138 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$5.00Jul 29, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August?$0.11Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Khotin before August?$0.84Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Iran before August?$1.33Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMissing Epstein cell footage released before August?$1.50Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?$0.95Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?$17.00Jul 19, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$15.73Jul 19, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$16.00Jul 19, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Khotin before August?$2.00Jul 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?$1.00Jul 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August?$1.00Jul 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$1.00Jul 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August? $3.00Jul 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?$3.00Jul 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue a Gold Card before August?$3.00Jul 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released before August?$3.00Jul 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iranian officials visit the White House before August?$3.00Jul 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli ground operation against Fordow before August?$3.00Jul 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel before August?$3.00Jul 18, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".