Alive-Valley
0x52820cfb6992b15c6a025ffe303a377ab81f8c43
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$12.62
Total PnL
$1.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
India military action against Pakistan before June?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$9.68
$6.68
- YES
India x Pakistan military clash before July?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Google forced to sell Chrome?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Deel CEO jailed in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
OpenAI social app before June?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 24, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 24, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?$0.00Apr 24, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$3.00Apr 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia x Pakistan military clash before July?$1.00Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeel CEO jailed in 2025?$1.00Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app before June?$1.00Apr 24, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle forced to sell Chrome?$1.00Apr 24, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$1.00Apr 24, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$3.00Apr 24, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?$0.00Mar 1, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$0.00Mar 1, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$1.00Feb 24, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 24, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?$5.00Feb 24, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?$5.00Feb 24, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 07:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.