Skinny-Gain
0x528efe81fb08ad29019422a4102ebea3344a85d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$85.30
Total PnL
$21.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
85 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$85.30
$25.59
- YES
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?
685 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.69
- YES
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?
143 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$59.71Nov 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$2.07Jan 27, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$2.81Jan 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$2.03Jan 5, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk arrested in 2024?$2.53Jan 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.04Jan 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.50Jan 2, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk arrested in 2024?$2.53Dec 31, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.53Dec 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.53Dec 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$1.27Dec 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$1.30Dec 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.37Dec 23, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.37Dec 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.53Dec 11, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran peace deal in 2024?$1.89Dec 10, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran peace deal in 2024?$1.75Dec 10, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$0.69Dec 7, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$0.88Dec 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$0.61Dec 4, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.