Only-Spirituality
0x5297f1e1d0f0584537af763652a0a5f874037b99
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$2.7K
Win rate
38%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
980 shares @ 37.7¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$235.21
$-134.10
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
650 shares @ 20.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$133.25
$-0.76
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
203 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$131.02
$1.02
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
33874 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$84.68
$-129.33
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
122 shares @ 60.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$66.60
$-7.78
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
26444 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.11
$2.96
- MBAPPE
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe
57 shares @ 87.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.76
$5.88
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
2155 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$47.40
$-24.63
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
59 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$41.08
$1.48
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
765 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$34.45
$-3.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.00Jul 4, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.00Jul 4, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.00Jul 4, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$0.04Jul 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$4.50Jul 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.01Jul 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$3.20Jul 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$0.67Jul 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$5.53Jul 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$5.50Jul 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$1.50Jul 4, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$5.20Jul 4, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$5.20Jul 4, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.01Jul 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.11Jul 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$7.67Jul 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$13.50Jul 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$5.06Jul 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$5.50Jul 4, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.02Jul 4, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.