Official-Stake
0x529aefab94854584106d02f2377db1db2f9f7b60
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$25.49
Total PnL
$-166.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
26 shares @ 80.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.49
$4.49
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
2531 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
585 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?
210 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
129 shares @ 74.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Fat Shot" or "Ozempic" during Kentucky visit?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Kentucky visit?
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Kentucky visit?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Yemen" or "Houthi" during Kentucky visit?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?$96.50Apr 1, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$96.50Apr 1, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$96.71Apr 1, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.00Mar 31, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$7.01Mar 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$70.98Mar 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$52.47Mar 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$21.00Mar 25, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?$40.00Mar 25, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$132.19Mar 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$143.93Mar 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$7.64Mar 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$0.89Mar 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$135.40Mar 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$112.55Mar 23, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.00Mar 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Mar 23, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.00Mar 22, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".