Cuddly-Tourist
0x52a05bdb9740d4da4b3e4b19d7735609cca38686
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-514.53
Realised
$0.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
1141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.98
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 31?
431 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.69
- FC BARCELONA
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
287 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-97.63
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
247 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-96.95
- YES
Will the match be a draw?
145 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2024$0.00
$-50.60
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?
110 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-1.33
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
109 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- SWITZERLAND
England vs. Switzerland - Who will advance?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2024$0.00
$-40.96
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?
64 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-27.74
- YES
Will the match be a draw?
44 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2024$0.00
$-15.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$9.98Jul 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$23.54Jul 10, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$76.35Jul 10, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$87.57Jul 6, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$45.32Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff$165.32Jul 5, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff$25.90Jul 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff$24.78Jul 5, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.29Jun 14, 15:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$11.34Jun 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.33Jun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$13.28Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.32Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.79Jun 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.24Jun 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$53.83Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$5.63Jun 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.60Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$9.93Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.