Quizzical-Readiness-Checking
0x52a8a7cfb71ae4ec034bc7d96e61e4d02e6bf4ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.53
Realised
$-0.63
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
260 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
108 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: SK Iberia 1999 2 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Thun 1 - 2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?$1.57Jul 20, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SK Iberia 1999 2 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?$1.05Jul 20, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sabah FK 2 - 1 Kuopion PS?$1.04Jul 20, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 3 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia?$1.05Jul 20, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.64Jul 16, 17:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.