Rewarding-Rod
0x52b43c73ad37bb07c07c40f27cb4898137edfb76
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-207.59
Realised
$157.41
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
2471 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
2189 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 11?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
863 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
843 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?
782 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?
642 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
506 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?$20.00Jan 30, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 30?$10.00Jan 30, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?$31.14Jan 30, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 30?$100.00Jan 30, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$40.00Jan 30, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?$10.00Jan 30, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?$40.00Jan 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30?$44.65Jan 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 30?$316.35Jan 30, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 30?$20.00Jan 29, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 30?$100.00Jan 29, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 30?$28.94Jan 29, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30?$25.00Jan 29, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 30?$15.00Jan 29, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?$121.74Jan 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?$10.00Jan 29, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$8.36Jan 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?$29.03Jan 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?$8.00Jan 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.