0x52b5a1e9100ae0b5b0842f7d6452fc16795a4057
0x52b5a1e9100ae0b5b0842f7d6452fc16795a4057
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$38.63
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
0%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
39 shares @ 65.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$38.63
$13.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
6991 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-280.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
754 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
692 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-67.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
520 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
412 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
410 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
311 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
311 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-162.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
311 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-153.78
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.25Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$22.73Jul 21, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$18.24Jul 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$10.39Jul 21, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$64.00Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.35Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.93Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$11.04Jul 21, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.41Jul 21, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.54Jul 21, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$12.23Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$8.17Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.40Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.62Jul 21, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$22.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$6.62Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
78 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.