Fixed-Salute
0x52be20c60b68e3c37bc32e524ad63e8c54bfa936
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-420.66
Realised
$3.57
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 31?
184 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-91.97
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 3AM ET
140 shares @ 91.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-127.99
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET
87 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 15?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1PM ET
53 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.47
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 17?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 10AM ET
25 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NUGGETS
Kings vs. Nuggets
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$0.17Jul 23, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.56Jul 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.02Jul 23, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.47Jul 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.02Jul 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.27Jul 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.13Jul 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.01Jul 23, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.30Jul 23, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.02Jul 23, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.02Jul 20, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.01Jul 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.34Jul 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.36Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.